This week's commodity export reports were released this morning and it was another abysmal week for sales and inspections. We are headed into the biggest weeks of the marketing year for shipments doing about half what we usually do. But we all knew that was happening. I thought it would be interesting to look…
Photo by Ronan on Unsplash All eyes are on export sales and shipments of soybeans in the midst of the 2018 trade war. I always have my commodity price analysis students produce those ‘export pace of use’ charts as a lab assignment because it is data that is very actively followed in the commodity marketing…
This is the third in a series of posts where I document my own process in figuring out how machine learning relates to the classic econometrics one learns in a graduate program in economics. Note that I am a humble practitioner of applied econometrics, so the ideas I am working through are not new,…
This is the second in a series of posts where I document my own process in figuring out how machine learning relates to the classic econometrics one learns in a graduate program in economics. Note that I am a humble practitioner of applied econometrics, so the ideas I am working through are not new,…
Photo by Dirk Vorderstraße (Mähdrescher von John Deere in der Warburger Börde) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons Post 1 in a series of 3. Post 2 : Machine Learning and Econometrics: Model Selection and Assessment Statistical Learning Style Post 3: Machine Learning and Econometrics: Trees, Random Forests, and Boosting Machine learning and artificial intelligence…
This post is the sixth and final in a series explaining Basic Time Series Analysis. Click the link to check out the first post which focused on stationarity versus non-stationarity, and to find a list of other topics covered. As a reminder, this post is intended to be a very applied example of how…
Dogs Image By Peter Wadsworth (Flickr) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons This post is the fifth in a series explaining Basic Time Series Analysis. Click the link to check out the first post which focused on stationarity versus non-stationarity, and to find a list of other topics covered. As a reminder, this post is…
This post is the third in a series explaining Basic Time Series Analysis. Click the link to check out the first post which focused on stationarity versus non-stationarity, and to find a list of other topics covered. As a reminder, this post is intended to be a very applied example of how use certain…
This post is the third in a series explaining Basic Time Series Analysis. Click the link to check out the first post which focused on stationarity versus non-stationarity, and to find a list of other topics covered. As a reminder, this post is intended to be a very applied example of how use certain tests…
This post is the second in a series explaining Basic Time Series Analysis. Click the link to check out the first post which focused on stationarity versus non-stationarity, and to find a list of other topics covered. As a reminder, this post is intended to be a very applied example of how use certain tests…